Meraglim Blog

New York Times Says Trump Will Lose in 2020. So He’ll Probably Win

They’re at it again. The same publications and pundits who said Hillary Clinton had a greater than 90% chance of winning in 2016 and were preparing magazine covers about the cultural and historic significance of our first female president are now busy proclaiming that a Democratic president in 2020 is inevitable and Trump has no

Read More »

The China-U.S. Confrontation at Sea Has Just Taken a New Turn

We have written frequently about possible confrontations between the U.S. and China in the South China Sea. International law recognizes claims of six separate nations to parts of that sea, and the U.S. is treaty partners with one of them (the Philippines). China claims the entire sea (except for a narrow shoreline stretch near each

Read More »

How Many More Flash Crashes Will Happen Before Markets Don’t Bounce?

A flash crash is understood as a sudden extreme market movement with no obvious cause and often connected with automated trading systems. Markets have been subject to crashes throughout history, but the flash crash is a more recent phenomenon closely associated with derivatives and computerized algorithmic trading. The first of the computer-era flash crashes was

Read More »

This Global Slowdown Is Real. How Bad Will It Get?

The time for warnings of a global slowdown is over. The slowdown is here. Over the past few months, we’ve highlighted warnings of slower growth, excessive debt and the potential for a new market crash coming from prominent officials in the international monetary system, including Christine Lagarde of the IMF, economists from the BIS and

Read More »
Scroll to Top