U.S.-Iranian relations are back where they were in 2013. But the next few years will play out differently this time around. From 2012–2013, the U.S. and Iran fought a financial war. The U.S. first banned Iran from the U.S. dollar payments systems (FedWire) and later worked with allies to ban Iran from the global payments
It’s far too soon to make definitive forecasts about who will win the presidential election in 2020. But it’s not too soon to offer forecasts about who will not win. Right now Joe Biden tops that list. Of course he’s ahead in the national polls, but there’s no such thing as a national election in
We’ve all just lived through two years of investigations, accusations and speculation about possible “collusion” between the 2016 Trump campaign and Russian agents designed to interfere with the 2016 presidential election. There’s no doubt about Russian interference, but the subject of collusion by Trump was hotly contested. Now that issue is settled. The Mueller report
Investors trying to handicap the 2020 presidential election should always bear in mind that 90% of the coverage and analysis you see and hear is filtered through a small band of anti-Trump reporters and channels based in New York and Washington, D.C. This group of mainstream media pundits got the 2016 election badly wrong;
My proprietary model currently gives Trump a 63% of winning re-election in 2020. (This is the same model I used to predict Trump would win in 2016 and the U.K. would vote to “leave” the EU. Both predictions were against all odds.) My 63% estimate may be a bit low, but I’m maintaining a conservative
